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This week's edition covers that India is APAC's most dynamic real estate market, Deutsche Bank’s plans to sell its retail business, India's AI ambitions, and more must-know news.

Coming this Thursday: our next guest article! Fellow Riser Wolfgang Bergthaler, a Austria-based consultant and founder of www.indische-wirtschaft.de and advisor for European companies on business development, lead generation, and recruitment in India since 2009, will share insights on “Why The Traditional Export Strategy Does Not Work Any Longer With India” with us.

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Number of the Week

6.9%

This is the uplifted GDP growth rate for India’s FY 2025-2026, according to Fitch.

Rise of the Week: India is APAC’s Most Dynamic Real Estate Market in H1 2025

Real estate markets are a reflection of the state of an economy. With India’s commercial and industrial real estate markets reaching new highs, recent reports confirm a broader and sustainable growth trend for the country’s economy.

Illustration generated with ChatGPT

India’s office market secured the top position in the whole Asia-Pacific (APAC) region in the first half of 2025, marking a significant milestone in the country’s economic development. As reported by Colliers, India accounted for a staggering

  • 70% of total leasing activity

  • 48% of new office supply

in the office sector for the whole APAC region. Together with Japan and Mainland China, India accounted for 90% of all office demand in the region during the first half of the year, while India, China, and Singapore accounted for 80% of new supply.

The robust demand for grade A office space in India is driven by a combination of factors, including continued occupier expansion, sustained GCC [global capability centres] activity, and a diversifying demand base. Backed by these fundamental demand drivers, a strong supply pipeline, and marked improvement in macroeconomic indicators, the office market outlook for India remains positive.

Vimal Nadar, National Director and Head of Research, Colliers India (2025)

Beyond the office market, India’s industrial real estate sector is performing equally well. This sector includes warehouses for logistics purposes and manufacturing sites, confirming the ongoing manufacturing boom that we had outlined in several of our prior issues of India Rising.

According to JLL, the industrial sector reached a new all-time high in H1 2025 and strongly outperformed prior periods:

  • 9 million sqft of total transactions in H1 2025

  • 38% increase year-over-year compared to H1 2024 (6.5 million sqft)

  • Six times larger than pre-pandemic levels in H1 2019 (1.6 million sqft)

While growth remains strong, demand is concentrated around 90% in five key regions: Bengaluru, Pune, NCR Delhi, Mumbai, and Chennai.

India’s industrial real estate market is experiencing a fundamental structural shift, evidenced by manufacturing leases comprising 24 per cent of all transactions in H1 2025.

Yogesh Shevade, Head Industrial and Logistics, JLL India (2025)

A growing demand from third-party logistics providers (28%) and manufacturing operators (24%) through build-to-suit agreements (long-term leases tailored to specific occupier requirements, often including pre-development infrastructure), indicates market maturation and a need for faster, more capital efficient asset-light approaches. Capital markets and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) represent key facilitators and are expected to reach a 30% share for the office sector by 2030, up from 16% today.

These robust performance indicators demonstrate that India's real estate sector continues to reflect healthy market demand and broader economic growth momentum. With the sector poised to become a USD 5-10 trillion industry by 2047, there is tremendous potential for many European businesses in the adjacent sectors, from construction technology and smart building solutions to logistics and manufacturing services, as well.

Sources: Business Standard, The Hans, Colliers, The Economic Times

What Else is Rising?

Deutsche Bank Plans to Sell Its Retail Business in India

Germany’s largest bank Deutsche Bank is restructuring its organisation in India and plans to sell its retail banking branches. This follows an announcement earlier this year by Christian Sewing, the bank’s CEO, to trim costs and cut around 2,000 jobs this year.

Image generated with ChatGPT

The bank has been active in India since 1980 and reached net revenues of USD 1 billion in 2024. Its retail segment, operating through 17 locations, contributed approximately USD 278 million in annual revenue. With more than 22,000 employees primarily in technology and back-office roles, the bank’s largest operation outside its home market Germany is in India.

Deutsche Bank invited both domestic and international banks to provide non-binding bids by August 29th. It’s the bank’s second attempt after an initial effort back in 2017.

The move reflects a broader retreat by foreign banks from India's highly competitive retail banking sector. Local players and digital-first challengers have intensified competition, compressing margins and making it difficult for international banks to achieve scale:

  • Standard Chartered sold its India personal loan business to Kotak Mahindra Bank last year.

  • Citi sold sold its credit card and retail business to Axis Bank in 2022.

The bank’s plan to sell its retail business is part of a larger M&A trend in India this year and while exiting retail operations, Deutsche Bank's corporate and investment banking divisions are expected to remain active in India. Transaction volumes for mergers & acquisitions (M&A) have reached USD 41 billion in 2025, an increase of around 3% compared to the same period last year. M&A advisory services are an important offering by Deutsche Bank in India, a segment that could benefit from the bank's strategic refocusing on institutional clients rather than retail consumers.

Sources: Financial Express, Reuters, The Economic Times

India’s AI Ambitions are Taking Shape

India is known for its tech savvy workforce and strong technology ecosystems. While the country has yet to match the computing infrastructure of the US or China, local businesses started developing indigenous large language models tailored not only to India’s diverse languages, but also designed to address country-specific challenges in healthcare or agriculture.

The workforce in India is highly tech oriented, highly educated and nimble, and that's a huge asset.

Christoph Schweizer, CEO Boston Consulting Group (2025)

Boston Consulting Group recently highlighted India as well positioned for the AI age, thanks to its skilled workforce. Private capital is increasingly taking notice, with major international investments signalling confidence in India's AI potential:

  • Open AI: The AI company behind the renowned ChatGPT is seeking partners to develop a 1GW data centre in India. The project, part of Open AI’s broader Stargate infrastructure initiative, represents a major expansion of India’s data centre capabilities. The company also plans to open an office in the country and announced research and education programs.

  • Google: As reported in prior issues, Google plans to invest USD 6 billion in a 1GW data centre in the country. The company already operates several global capability centres in India.

  • AI centres of excellence (COE): Beyond infrastructure, multinational corporations set up AI COEs across India. Amongst others, IBM and Vodafone recently opened a new AI innovation hub with the goal to transform operations in the telecom sector and achieve faster digital delivery.

India is an important partner in technological developments and its contributions to AI developments are already widely recognised. I think India’s emergence as an AI hub thanks to technical capabilities and cost advantages could create substantial opportunities for European businesses for developing and implementing AI solutions within their own organisations as well. As US technology companies have demonstrated, India's skilled workforce provides a significant leveraging factor for AI innovation and deployment at scale.

Sources: The Economic Times, Reuters, CNBC, IndianWeb2

Quick Risers

Spotlight: Guest Article by Wolfgang Bergthaler

Next guest article incoming: “Why The Traditional Export Strategy Does Not Work Any Longer With India“ by Wolfgang Bergthaler.

Image: Wolfgang Bergthaler (2025)

Wolfgang is an Austria-based consultant and founder of www.indische-wirtschaft.de. Since 2009, he has been reporting on India’s dynamic growth market and advising European companies on business development, lead generation, and recruitment in India.

With a strong entrepreneurial background and long-standing expertise, he bridges insights from both Europe and India to support successful cross-border ventures.

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Curiosity Corner

Your random facts and stories about India and the Indo-European friendship.

This week: India's Financial Evolution: From Hundis to Digital Transactions.

India's financial history stretches from ancient indigenous instruments like the Hundi, a versatile credit note that powered trade for centuries, to today's revolutionary fintech. This early system, built on the trust of community networks and moneylenders, eventually gave way to the formal banking structures introduced during the British colonial era. The 20th century accelerated this transformation with bank nationalisation to boost financial inclusion, followed by liberalisation that spurred competition.

The most changing impact, however, is the recent digital surge. Powered by innovations like the Unified Payments Interface (UPI), fintech has democratised finance, allowing millions to transact instantly from their phones. This journey from traditional promissory notes exchanged between merchants to seamless, real-time digital payments, showcases India's remarkable financial evolution.

Sources: Wikipedia, others

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